24-25

Sub-par test scores in Big Creek

Date
Activity
Skiing

I toured Big Creek today in the southern Paradise Valley, taking Donahue Creek trail up off of Big Creek to ski the low angle meadows above. The west face of the first meadow was fairly wind loaded and approximately 80cm deep.
The snowpack appeared to be approximately 20cm of soft powder over 30cm of a wind slab, all sitting on top of another 30cm of fairly loose, course, facets. 
I conducted a compression test, and had a failure at 17 taps where the wind slab collapsed on the loose snow below. I did an extended column next, and recorded a score of ECT16P, with the failure propagating below the top layer of powder within the slab on the facets. 
Prior to filling in the pits, I jumped on my skis approximately 4 feet upslope of them, and the second jump caused the snowpack on the back of the pit to collapse when the slab slid. 

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
NORTHERN GALLATIN RANGE
Observer Name
Jake Ahmann

Wind Slab Avalanche in Republic Creek.

Republic Creek
Cooke City
Code
SS-N-R1-D1.5
Elevation
10100
Aspect
SE
Latitude
44.98550
Longitude
-109.94100
Notes

Saw what looked to be a small wind slab or cornice fall on South Siren in Republic Creek. SE facing, 10100 ft. 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1.5
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Snow Pit Tests and Obs from Beehive/Middle/Bear Basins

Date
Activity
Skiing

Went into the beehive area today to do a bigger jaunt into the alpine and make it around the basins. Dug at 9200’ on an E aspect on the Beehive/Middle ridge and ripped two ECTs. First test result was ECTN12 on the dust layer. Second test yielded an ECTX. We went ahead with our plan to ski some fairly steep terrain throughout the basins, taking it slow, and making surface and visual observations throughout our day confirming our plan. Most of the surface snow was minimally wind affected and skied great. We saw only small sluffs on anything we could see (no slab avalanches). There was some small shooting cracks while setting skinners, but nothing especially concerning. There was evidence of a stubborn older wind slab underneath the newest snow on one of our lines. Overall, great day! 

Region
Northern Madison
Location (from list)
Beehive Basin
Observer Name
Eric Heiman

No New Signs of Instability South of Cooke

Date
Activity
Skiing

Went skiing south of Cooke City today near Hayden Creek. No avalanches seen and no signs of instability. Cold temps and light winds from the NW and W all day. 

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Hayden Creek
Observer Name
Noah Mattes

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Feb 11, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Across the forecast area, human-triggered avalanches are possible on steep, wind-loaded slopes and where persistent weak layers formed in January result in lingering instability. It is reasonable to consider travel in some steeper terrain, but I offer two points:</p>

<ol start="1" type="1">
<li>Temperatures are very cold. This increases the consequences of a simple mishap and a more serious avalanche incident for the affected individual and rescuers. Expand margins for error and select terrain with higher levels of certainty for positive outcomes.</li>
<li>As instability becomes less widespread, the decision-making onus shifts to the backcountry travelers, who must make slope-scale stability assessments within the context of a regional avalanche forecast if you plan to travel in terrain steeper than 30 degrees. Check out the <a href="https://youtube.com/shorts/rP6HugEwTp0?feature=share"><strong><span>vid…; Haylee and I made yesterday.</li>
</ol>

<p>As you build your slope scale forecast, evaluate slopes for recent wind-loading where <strong>wind slab avalanches</strong> can break 1-2 feet deep. This weekend, natural and human-triggered avalanches breaking 20-200 feet wide occurred in all corners of the forecast area (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><span>Avalanche activity list</span></a>). Several notable slides on Sunday included a pair of snowmobiler-triggered avalanches in the southern Madison Range (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34102"><span>photos</span></a&gt;) and natural and snowboarder-triggered avalanches near Cooke City (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34096"><span>photos</span></a><strong&…;, </strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q3OxZUjHYfs"><span>video</span></a&gt;). There will be minimal drifting today with light winds, so assess for instability with an <a href="https://youtu.be/Gk8W8nlUMpw"><span>extended column test</span></a> and alert to shooting cracks, cornices and a hollow, drum-like feel to the snow surface.</p>

<p>Additionally, evaluate the snowpack for persistent weak layers buried 1-3 feet deep. We are not finding these on every slope, and we are getting mixed results in stability tests, but where they exist, <strong>persistent slab avalanches</strong> are possible (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34085"><span>Lionhead observation</span></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34067"><span>Cooke City observation</span></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34109"><span>N. Madison Observation</span></a>). Yesterday, collapsing and obvious signs of instability were absent as I traveled through a thin, weak snowpack in the Northern Madison Range. This means getting out your shovel and testing for instability because it probably won’t be noticeable otherwise.</p>

<p>Avoid steep, wind-loaded terrain where wind slab and larger persistent slab avalanches are most likely. Seek out terrain sheltered from the wind and with fewer terrain traps (trees, cliffs, rocks and gullies), and evaluate the snowpack for buried weak layers before committing to steep slopes. The avalanche danger is rated MODERATE.</p>

<p><span>Special note: A deeper-than-normal snowpack at lower elevations and on slopes that typically don’t hold much snow is exciting and offers atypical recreation opportunities. Along with these opportunities comes atypical avalanche potential. While skate skiing in Sourdough Canyon, I noted this and offered some thoughts about when we should avoid business-as-usual travel practices in these areas (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LYqruI9gUp0"><span>video</span></a&gt;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34062"><span>observation</span></a&gt;). </span></p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar

February 20, 4-7 p.m. Beacon BBQ at Uphill Pursuits in Bozeman. Come try out different brands of avalanche transceivers (or practice with your own!) with coaching from Friends of GNFAC instructors and free hotdogs.

Weak Layers and Mid/Low-Elevation Snow

Date
Activity
Skiing

Today, we traveled up the Deer Creek drainage north of Big Sky. We experienced no cracking or collapsing and saw no recent avalanches. We dug in the snow on a S aspect at 7680' with unremarkable results. We dug again on a NE aspect at 8200' and got an unstable test result (ECTP 28) on surface hoar and near-surface facets buried under a 2' slab (F - 1F+ hardness).

A few keys points from today: 

  • Mid to Low-elevation snow exists in many areas that typically do not hold rideable snow during the winter. These zones are typically much shallower and weaker. Avalanche terrain exists at mid to low-elevations too. Assume a shallow, weak snowpack in these areas and easily confirm by digging down to see what is going on underneath your feet. 
  • Persistent weak layers are still present and are reactive in snowpits. Surface hoar and near-surface facets exist around 2' deep in the snowpack. These layers do not exist on every slope and were stubborn in snowpit tests, but there is still a possibility of triggering an avalanche within this layer. 
  • Wind loaded terrain grows less sensitive by the day but is still where the likelihood of finding the most unstable snow is the highest.  

There are a lot of abnormal, mid to  lower-elevation zones out there holding great snow and riding conditions - just remember that there are still terrain and snowpack features to be on the lookout for and avoided. Step off the skin track, look out for signs of red flags and dig down to see what is going on beneath your feet before committing to ascending or descending steep slopes. 

 

Region
Northern Madison
Location (from list)
NORTHERN MADISON RANGE
Observer Name
H. Darby